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A Perspective on Covid-19 Statistics

A perspective on Covid-19 statistics can help us better understand the data and the avalanche of data that hits the daily news headlines. According to Bloomberg News, “Global coronavirus infections climbed above 85 million (as of January 4th), and the daily cases in the U.S. soared to a record of nearly 300,000 following the New Year holiday.” So on the surface, this sounds like a lot of people being infected by Covid-19. It is a big number no doubt, but let’s put this and a few more data points in perspective globally and nationally:

A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE:

  • GLOBAL INFECTIONS – As of today (January 4, 2021) – According to Johns Hopkins University , globally we have reached 85,497,369 people infected by Covid-19. If you divide that number by the total global population of 7,836,800,670 people (according to the World Population Clock), and you arrive at a 1.09% global infection rate (actual # is .0109).
    • Global Infection-Death Rate – Once again, according to Johns Hopkins University, the global deaths are currently at 1,849,054. So divide this number by 85,497,369 people infected by Covid-19, and you arrive at a global-infection death rate of 2.16 % (actual # is .0216).
    • Global Death Rate – If you divide the number of Covid-19 deaths globally (1,849,054) by the global population (7,836,800,670), this puts the current global-death rate at 0.02% (actual # is .0002).

A NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE:

  • NATIONAL INFECTIONS – As of today (January 4, 2021) – According to Johns Hopkins University, the United States has reached 20,739,217 Covid-19 infections. If you divide that number by the total U.S. population of 332,007,863 people (according to the World Population Clock), you arrive at a national-infection rate of 6.25% (actual # is .0625).
    • National Infection-Death Rate – Once again, according to Johns Hopkins University, the U.S. deaths are currently at 352,620. So divide this number by 20,739,217 U.S. infections, and you arrive at a U.S. infection-death rate of 1.70% (actual # is .0170).
    • National Death Rate – If you divide U.S Covid-19 deaths (352,620) by the U.S. population (332,007,863 people), this puts the current U.S. death rate at 0.1% (actual # is .0011).

STATISTICAL PERSPECTIVE:

  • Let’s shift gears now, and look at the flip-side of the deluge of data we’re presented with daily, and referenced above to get an alternate perspective on Covid-19 statistics. Contrary to how the media presents the daily Covid data, there is light at the end of the tunnel as we look at the statistics from the opposite or a macro perspective:
    • Globally: (look at the inverse of the above statistics) If 1.09% of the worlds population has been infected by Covid-19, that means that 98.91% of the global population has not been infected (yet). Also, if the global infection-death rate is 2.16%, that means that 97.84% of the global population infected by Covid-19, survive.
    • Nationally: (look at the inverse of the above statistics) If 6.25% of the U.S. population has been infected by Covid-19, then that means that 93.75% of the U.S. population has not been infected (yet). In addition, if the U.S. national infection-death rate is 1.70%, then that means that 98.30% of the U.S. population infected by Covid-19, survive.

CONCLUSION:

So now that we’ve provided a perspective on Covid-19 statistics, what does this all mean? What are the implications and lessons learned?

  • We understand that Covid-19 appears to be more deadly than the annual flu. Most of us of us have known people who have either been infected or know of someone who has passed away from this virus that normally wouldn’t from the annual flu. However, we also personally know individuals who had completely different Covid illness experiences than others. This is not an ordinary flu virus…it manifests itself differently than the ordinary flu in many ways…sometimes with deadly outcomes. Regardless, all loss of life from this virus had been a tragedy.
  • We also have learned that our healthcare workers (and we MUST NOT forget the store workers too…who get paid a lot less!) are true heroes! They and others are putting their lives on the line daily, all to help us! We just need more of these selfless people to meet the demands in situations like this. Which brings me to the next point…
  • We’ve also learned that our current health care system is insufficient to adequately handle pandemics. Lack of designated building space, under-supplied medical devices and equipment, and under-staffed medical personnel has resulted in overcrowded ER and ICU facilities. (We personally have family and friends who are physicians/ nurses/ health service providers etc…and we’ve heard their direct testimonies.) Our healthcare system is over-burdened, over-run and short-staffed, which we believe is also a national tragedy. (We’ll address these particular issues more, along with possible solutions in another post later this month).
  • As we apply discernment of Covid-19 statistics (from the above sections), it begs the questions:
    • Do the above statistics merit the shut-downs and closures of our local and global economies. Does it merit the loss of millions of small businesses and the rising unemployment (while the large corporations keep getting fatter and bigger)?
    • What will be the real financial implications, in terms of loss of economic productivity? PLUS, what will be the the future impact on our economies as a result of the voracious appetite of digital money being poured into the world economies? World debt and our national debt have never been higher, and this will eventually have an impact. The question is…to what extent and for how long?
  • Given the “warp-speed” vaccine roll-outs (which normally take years to complete), how effective will the vaccines be in 3, 6 or 12 months from now?
    • What are/will be the medical side effects?
    • Have we sacrificed good science for the sake of a rushed solution that may prove ineffective? If so, at what cost?
    • Who is gain the most? Hopefully humanity at large will gain the most. (We hope the people are the beneficiaries, particularly the elderly and those with co-morbidities).
    • Who else is to gain?
    • When it comes to vaccines, we tend to be a little jaded by the industry that produces these. Here are three links to interviews that may better articulate our skeptical position on today’s vaccines:
  • So many questions will be answered in time…but at what cost?

We hope this post on A Perspective on Covid-19 Statistics has brought some alternate ways of evaluating the data presented to us, and to help raise more questions to discuss, evaluate and consider. We look forward to following up on a few of these points previously made above in future posts. Until then, as we always say, “Do your own research, then make a better informed decision.”

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – Provides lawyers/law firms, for-profit & non-profit organizations, and other business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services (M.A.P.), Business Optimization Services, and Digital Marketing Services. We help business professionals strategically manage and tactically grow their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P. (our 3-phase business development & management solution), designed to help you strategically manage and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

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BLOCKCHAIN or HASHGRAPH

Recent Article on Blockchain on Forbes

BACKGROUND:

Blockchain or Hashgraph technology. We believe our readers want to better understand what technology will drive global ecommerce in the future from banking & financial to consumer product transactions.

To better understand this issue, it’s important to understand the two primary technologies available in the marketplace today, and to assess the differences in terms of capability, viability, practicality of application, speed of processing, and transactional costs. Based on our understanding, the two main competing technologies existing today for future consideration is either going to be Blockchain or Hashgraph technology. We thought now would be a good time to re-post one of our previous posts from February 2018 that addresses the differences between Blockchain vs. Hashgraph technologies. Understanding the differences between these two technologies will help our readers to better understand their viabilities in the future.

Once you finish listening to and reading the linked interviews and charts, you too will be better positioned to determine which technology will prevail globally, and which technology will more likely to be used in the future for cryptocurrencies as well.

Hadera Hashgraph Article on Computerworld.com Image Blackjack3D/Getty Images

CRYPTOCURRENCIES & BITCOIN:

We also believe this re-post of evaluating the future viability of Blockchain or Hashgraph technology is timely as well. We also want to draw your attention to the challenges and opportunities with both technologies (Blockchain or Hashgraph), and how they affect cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. In light of the recent attention and steep run-up of Bitcoin ($18,000+), we do want to state that we certainly believe cryptocurrencies ARE the future monetary mechanism of conducting financial transactions and settlement on a global basis. The question is, will future cryptocurrencies be based on Blockchain or Hashgraph technology?

Based on the evidence we have seen so far, Bitcoin and the Blockchain technology it is based on, can NOT be viewed as a sustainable global digital currency. Please listen to the following links below, as they address the opportunities and challenges of these technologies; from the simplest in concept, to more complex discussions:

KEY VIDEOS & INTERVIEWS:

  1. https://youtu.be/gah5IgRb7qw
  2. https://youtu.be/SF362xxcfdk
  3. https://youtu.be/CaZSxvO4T3M
  4. https://youtu.be/evWBgNdWNDk
  5. https://youtu.be/pOc23lJw7ls
  6. https://youtu.be/1NBfH7dMK4Y
  7. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLkhwFQSPyY&list=TLPQMjEwMjIwMjF4Ag6m8srIkQ&index=3
  8. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BfmDDg8KuTI
  9. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzxGIAvzNgM
  10. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-03-24/bitcoin-miners-are-on-a-path-to-self-destruction

COMPARATIVE DATA:

I encourage you to CAREFULLY listen to each interview link (above) from our original POST, and also look at the following two comparative charts on processing capabilities and costs:

COMPARATIVE CHART #1statistics backing these claims.

COMPARATIVE CHART #2 – Here’s another comparison of Bitcoin vs. Hashgraph cryptocurrency performance.

CONCLUSION:

Based on these interviews, and the data we have reviewed and shared, we believe the evidence is quite clear. Hashgraph technology will lead the future in global transactional infrastructure. Why isn’t this being discussed in the mainstream media? We’re not sure…

The reason for our re-post and further discussion of Blockchain or Hashgraph technology has been influenced by recent news commentaries, public discussions and opinions, and lastly by the comments of close friends and relatives. Of particular interest to us is the fact these same relatives and friends who have little or no experience in business, finance, financial markets, and cryptocurrency technology are now experts in these areas. The fact that these same family and friends most interested in cryptocurrencies are the ones who don’t own any other investment assets (other than Bitcoin). This is a red herring to us, as they are now suddenly the experts, touting the merits and future potential of Bitcoin and Blockchain technology. We’re not saying you have to be a financial expert to properly identify and evaluate investment opportunities. Quite the contrary! What’s more important to us, is to be open-minded to conduct further research, ask more questions, evaluate alternative data and information, and then compare what you’ve obtained with the information that is currently popular on mainstream news and in discussion groups.

Our concern is, like with speculative stock trading on Wall Street Bitcoin and many cryptocurrencies may be experiencing a “pump-and-dump” or as it is known in the crypto world as “the rug pull”. This process may be applied with speculators or traders or speculators of many cryptos, including Bitcoin. These speculators use clever marketing strategies (including word of mouth and social media postings )to lure new customers to their products. Surprisingly, even more reputable companies like PayPal and Visa are now offering cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin), as means of transaction processing and offer reward incentives to do so. My question is, do the CEO’s and CTO’s not understand the technology this is based on given its unsustainability, limitations, and high transactional costs? If not, why not? We thought this ARTICLE on cryptocurrencies posted today on Bloomberg (7-08-21) would be of interest too. Seems like others may finally be waking up to the fact that there really does need to be some form of regulatory oversight on cryptos, as they are intended to be a means of conducting reliable financial transactions, not for pure speculation. At least that’s our position.

All that said, getting back to the issue of Blockchain vs Hashgraph technology, our question is: If a better technology platform solution exists (like Hashgraph), and a cryptocurrency utilizes this superior technology, then why would you put your money into a cryptocurrency (like Bitcoin and others) that utilize an inferior technology platform like Blockchain? It just makes no logical sense to us other than perhaps this is purely a speculative trade or crypto bubble (speaking of Bitcoin and others alike). Many people may make a lot of money trading these cryptocurrencies, but unfortunately many people will also get burned in the long-run as well. Yes, money can be made in trading crypto’s, perhaps lots of money can be made by speculative trading by those experienced in day trading, but what about the average Joe? That’s why we’re posting this subject again…to offer another cautionary perspective to the public and to our readers. Just keep in mind… isn’t a key characteristic of a “credible/reliable” currency based on history of stability and not extreme high volatility?

I hope we’re wrong on this one… True, Bitcoin can go higher…perhaps much higher, but based on what? Speculation or sustainability? Only time will tell. Until then, we hope you find this information helpful in your evaluation of future global technology and cryptocurrencies, whether it be based on Blockchain or Hashgraph. Remember, do your own homework, then make a better informed decision.

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – Provides lawyers/law firms, for-profit & non-profit organizations, and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services (M.A.P.), Business Optimization Services, and Digital Marketing Services. We help business professionals strategically manage and tactically grow their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P. (our 3-phase business development & management solution), designed to help you strategically manage and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

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IS COVID-19 A PANDEMIC OR PLANDEMIC?

Photo: www.cdc.gov

Is COVID-19 A Pandemic or Plandemic? This is the question many are asking us. We are NOT medical experts nor do we hold ourselves out to be in any sense of the word. We are business advisors…period. We simply do our research, share it with our readers, and let them make their own decisions across all spectrums of business issues or any other topic we choose to discuss.

PLEASE NOTE: Last week’s POST related to the data presented by the CDC and others regarding the COVID-19 pandemic contagion and mortality rates. We then presented an apples-to-apples vs. apples-to-oranges data comparison of the COVID-19 data vs. annual flu. We presented the data with one caveat (as we tell our clients), you should follow the data if you can trust the source and integrity of the data. If you can trust the source and integrity of the data, then you should proceed forward and analyze the data in an intelligent and meaningful way.

So our answer to the question “Is COVID-19 a Pandemic or Plandemic” is, it depends. It depends on who you ask, where your research takes you, and the conviction of weighing the evidence of untainted data in making your conclusion. That said, we decided to go off-mainstream news sources to alternative media sources we found online to be informative and credible.

If you question or don’t trust the sources and integrity of the data presented by mainstream media sources, then you need to conduct further investigation. This week’s post is focused on providing alternative perspectives on what is currently being reported by the mainstream media, government sources and health industry spokespersons. Below we’ve provided a documentary and several interviews for our readers to explore in furthering their research from alternative media perspectives. We hope you will finds these links insightful when contemplating “Is COVID-19 a Pandemic or Plandemic.”

INTERESTING LINKS:

  1. ttps://www.theepochtimes.com/coronavirusfilm?utm_source=Epoch_Times&utm_medium=Banner
    • This link is a documentary from The Epoch Times regarding Covid-19 that appears to be well researched/documented and worthwhile to watch.
  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgnBldI7KPY&list=PLJipCwWnmNOb5ILPfpn9JK4G8eZu4Z2Az&index=14&t=0s
    • This link is an interview on YouTube Valuetainment w/former NCI and Ph.D virus researcher regarding viruses and her experience.  (THIS LINK WAS REMOVED FROM YOUTUBE YESTERDAY)…We believe this is censorship…Bad decision YouTube. So click on the link below:
    • https://youtu.be/W7Lj1rNVHPM Hopefully YouTube will uphold our Constitutional Rights and freedom of speech by allowing this interview to be viewed publicly without censorship. ((THIS LINK TOO WAS REMOVED FROM YOUTUBE YESTERDAY.)
  3. Former AIDS Scientist Calls Out Dr. Fauci’s Medical Corruption – Patrick Bet-David This is an interesting unbiased interview worth watching.
https://www.patrickbetdavid.com/former-aids-scientist-calls-out-dr-faucis-medical-corruption/
  1. This is a direct link to an interview with Judy Mikovitz PhD called “Plandemicmovie.com“…This interview and movie link YouTube can NOT take down. I would encourage all of you to share these interview links with everyone you know so that individuals can listen to information that is outside the mainstream media, then be able to make a better and informed decision regarding COVID-19 and viruses etc.
  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnbf9wccdxE&list=PLJipCwWnmNOb5ILPfpn9JK4G8eZu4Z2Az&index=17&t=0s
    • This link is an interview w/Dr. Buttar regarding Covid-19 from a physicians point of view.
  3. https://londonreal.tv/unmasking-the-lies-around-covid-19-facts-vs-fiction-of-the-coronavirus-pandemic/
    • This link is to Brian Rose’s website, www.Londonreal.tv  This interview is with another U.S. doctor in New York (graduate of MIT and Duke University) regarding his knowledge of viruses and perspectives on Covid-19.  (To gain access to the full interview, you may have to enter your email address, but no password is required.)
  4. https://youtu.be/QLi6ZrFp6vQ?list=PLJipCwWnmNOb5ILPfpn9JK4G8eZu4Z2Az
    • DON’T MISS THIS LAST LINK!  This is a very interesting capstone interview on Valuetainment with Robert Kennedy Jr.

CONCLUSION:

We’re not here to tell you what to think or what to believe. We simply wanted to provide you with information for you to use in making sense of this crisis, and to provide some thought provoking perspectives. We hope the informational links provided will give you greater insight or perhaps a balanced insight so that you can better understand the issues surrounding COVID-19 and other related issues concerning viruses and pandemics. Perhaps now you can determine for yourself…Is COVID-19 a Pandemic or Plandemic, and the other issues that touch this crisis. You decide! We hope you find last week’s post and this week’s post informative and helpful or at the least…thought provoking. If there are broken links, please accept our apology. That said, broken links are becoming more common now, and it is most likely due to YouTube “cancelling” or taking down the videos because they violated their rules of content or conduct…however they spin it. What about the people’s right to freedom of speech under the First Amendment in this country? We don’t have to agree on everything someone says or stands for, but we should at least agree to disagree as well, right? Let individuals make up their own minds. The Government should not…NOR should Big Tech act as judge and jury when it comes to freedom of speech (in most cases). Leave that to the courts. Anyways, another topic for another day.

Again, listen to both sides of the issue, do your own research and due diligence, then make your own informed decision. Don’t let the mainstream media, government officials or big tech make your decisions for you. Until next time…

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – Provides lawyers/law firms, for-profit & non-profit organizations, and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services (M.A.P.), Business Optimization Services, and Digital Marketing Services. We help business professionals strategically manage and tactically grow their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P. (our 3-phase business development & management solution), designed to help you strategically manage and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

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OUR FINANCIAL OPIOID ADDICTION – IS DEBT!

Our financial opioid addiction is debt! Record household debt is at an all-time high. Does it matter? Our national debt is at a record high. Does it matter? What does this mean to you and me, and for our country? Read further then you decide for yourself…

According to these articles on MarketWatch and Bloomberg, household debt exceeded $14 TRILLION dollars by the end of 2019. According to these articles, this past quarter was the 22nd STRAIGHT quarterly increase in consumer debt! Mainstream business news pundits claim the economy is strong, and that consumer purchasing is strong etc. It makes me ask, what business school did they attend? What business principles are they applying to come to these conclusions? These pundits appear to be bright, articulate, well-educated and sincere people…and I’m sure they are! But what do they see that I don’t see or understand that I don’t understand? Let’s look at the strength of the consumer and our overall economy from a macro perspective so that we can better understand the underlying principles of this s0-called economic “strength” that mainstream media pundits claim.

FIRST:

Let’s assume that we can first agree on one basic principle that debt is debt. Debt means that you owe money for an item you purchased… you do not own that particular item/asset until it is paid off. If you can’t afford to buy something outright, then debt it taken on because in most cases one doesn’t have the financial means to make an outright purchase of an item or asset, rather you have reserved the right to take possession of that item or asset until that item has been fully paid for…then you have actual ownership. You may have “reserved” title of ownership such as in your home or the car you drive…but you don’t actually own it until it is paid off. (Try missing 2-3 payments then you’ll quickly understand who the owner is and who the debtor of that asset really is.) Have we forgotten this basic principle? In some cases, debt may be assumed by individuals to charge an item in order to gain the mileage points or whatever incentive is being offered. (I too have done this myself in order to obtain additional discounts on the items I was purchasing…but then I paid off the balance completely when the first bill came due. I no longer carried that debt, and in those situations, short-term debt can make good financial sense.) But that’s not what we’re talking about here... The $14 TRILLION in consumer debt has obviously not been paid off, rather it has steadily increased each quarter for the past 22 quarters. What does that tell you? As consumers and as a nation, we are in the midst of a financial opioid addiction.

This record amount of consumer debt tells us, that rather than consumers paying off debt, the consumer’s debt continues to grow. Why? Well, for several reasons; credit is continuously being extended, wages aren’t keeping up with inflation, and we are living beyond our means. Thus, financial opioid addiction! This continuous growth in consumer debt keeps fueling this “ponzi scheme” of the American economic mind-set. This will eventually lead to the ultimate destruction of the consumer’s future financial well-being. Pundits say the consumer is confident and is therefore spending more. Should they be? If they are so confident, then why take on more debt…more servitude to debtors rather than paying down the debt already owed, and loosen the financial bonds that will further strangle them when the next financial crisis hits?

SECOND:

Consumer debt is simply a mirror image of the mind-set of the U.S. national debt, which is currently at $23.2 TRILLION (according to the U.S. Treasury). The highest in world history. Why is this? Because currently, the U.S. still maintains the “World Reserve Currency”…meaning we can print all the money all we want or need (digitally and physically), while the rest of the world cannot. We’re able to finance (issue debt/ create money out of thin air/ for anything we want militarily, financially, infrastructurally, you name it (at least we can for the time being). The U.S. Government and consumers alike are suffering from financial opioid addiction…period. As American consumers, we have become accustomed to buy whatever we want, whenever we want without forethought of what it means to our financial future. So the pundits state that our the economy the most powerful/prosperous in the world. Is it really? Or is it because we carry the highest amount of debt of any other nation or people in the history of the world? It sure sounds like borrowed materialism and prosperity without paying for it! We just keep kicking the financial opioid debt down the financial highway of destruction. Have you ever considered if all debt was called in immediately or if the taps to this opioid debt were suddenly cut-off? What would happen to this nation…to us individually? We would be bankrupt (we already are). The rest of the world just playing along… Take a look below at the U.S. Debt Clock as of 2-11-20, the U.S. national debt. Is this the proof of prosperity or indebted fake prosperity?

Our economy and our consumers alike have “seemingly” flourished because we have access to a never-ending source of debt. One problem: Someday this situation will come crashing to an end, and unfortunately we as a country and individually as consumers will have to live through those consequences. But until then, keep the economy going! Spend, spend, spend! Come on consumers, do the American thing… keep on spending and taking on more debt… it’s what comprises two-thirds of our economy! Is that really economic strength or is it economic weakness? Is that what we really represent to the world? As a Christian nation founded on Christian values and principles, is that what the Bible teaches us?

Have you ever thought of what would happen if/when the “World Reserve Currency” status is taken away from the U.S.? OR…when the rest of the world no longer recognizes the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency? Have you ever thought of that? What it would be like for you/ your children/ or your grandchildren when that day comes, and we can no longer digitally or physically print as much money as we “want or need” to service our debt? Considered what it will mean financially to our country, to you and your families? I would encourage you to give some critical thought to that for moment…it’s pretty sobering.

THIRD:

What will happen to the U.S. consumer when the next economic downturn happens… when credit is once again tightened/ or reduced/or restricted and we can no longer charge or incur debt to pay for items we want or NEED? My point is… for many of us, our personal and national financial condition is built on DEBT. When this financial house of cards begins to fall, when this financial ponzi-scheme begins to implode, those with debt will suffer the most. Consider this article from Bloomberg this morning regarding Fed Chairman Powell’s comments on the next economic crisis… Will the Federal Reserve have enough ammo to fight the next recession? My question to each of us is, will we individually have enough financial ammo in our personal arsenal (savings and owned assets) for us to survive the next recession?

CONCLUSION:

It may be worth considering, that with the stock market at all-time highs, the bond market near all-time highs and the real estate market at all-time highs, wouldn’t it be prudent as a consumer to tighten our spending and reduce our debt rather than increasing our debt? Perhaps for those with some market investments to consider reducing their market investment exposure, and take some of the profits and use them to pay-down debt? Remember the wise old saying, “Buy low…Sell high” that generations before us better understood?

For those who don’t have investments to liquidate and apply the gains to pay down debt, perhaps they can begin to implement a debt pay-off plan vs. purchasing the newest smartphone (avoiding brand names) or other like-kind spending choices? As mentioned earlier, we have become consumers and a nation of the financial opioid called debt. We’re addicted and we don’t seem to care too much about that right now or at least we won’t until the opioid is someday taken away. Wouldn’t it be wonderful for us to change the mindsets of financial pundits from expressing that it’s good that consumers are “spending” (i.e. taking on more debt), to consumers are now saving and paying down debt, therefore reducing their servitude to debtors? Will our economy grow more slowly, yes. But as a nation and individually we will be financially stronger, enabling us to better weather the next financial storm that lies ahead, and begin to shed our financial opioid addiction to debt.

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – provides lawyers/law firms, for-profit & non-profit organizations, and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services, and Digital Marketing Services. We help business professionals strategically manage and tactically grow their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P. (our 3-phase business development & management solution), designed to help you strategically manage and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

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Interest Rates Tell the Story…an Update

This is an update to “Interest Rates Tell The Story” which we posted on June 24th of this year. We wanted to post this lecture by Danielle DiMartino Booth of Quill Intelligence., as she addresses some very important points regarding interest rates and the “real” stat of the economy and financial markets. Danielle gave this lecture at the Stansberry Conference on October 20th, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

As a former insider at the Federal Reserve in Dallas for nearly 10 years, and many years experience working on Wall Street, we believe it would be of value to our readers to LISTEN to what she has to say. More specifically about what Danielle has to say about interest rates, the state of the economy, the Federal Reserve, and finally on how all this information can be used in making strategic and tactical decisions for you personally and professionally. Remember, interest rates tell the story of what’s really going on in the economy. As we always say, “Do your own research, then make better informed decisions.”

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – provides lawyers/law firms, for-profit & non-profit organizations, and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services, and Digital Marketing Services. We help business professionals strategically manage and tactically grow their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P. (our 3-phase business development & management solution), designed to help you strategically focus and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

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FACEBOOK – ANOTHER DATA POLICY FAILURE

Source: Bloomberg

This is yet another example of Facebook’s failure to transparently disclose its data policies to its customers. Hello Readers!

This time, according to Bloomberg news, it has to do with outsourcing to “hundreds” of outside contractors transcribing its “Messenger Chats” into usable data (that is…for them to sell/mine or whatever their lack of transparency data policy allows them to do). Were you aware of this policy? Facebook says it doesn’t listen to your conversations, rather they hire hundreds of outside contractors to do this for them. Well isn’t that really the same thing? Of course it is. Facebook’s lack of transparency and abuse of client’s data is abysmal and disingenuous to say the least. That said, I have questions regarding these outside contractors hired by Facebook to do their dirty work, namely:

  • Who are these outside contractors?
  • What are their data policies?
  • What do they do with your data once service is rendered for Facebook?
  • Where are they located?
  • Who is monitoring these contractors?
  • How do they safeguard your data?
  • Do they adhere to their data policies?
  • How do you know? How is this verified?
  • Who monitors their data data retention policies…in other words, who is holding them accountable for YOUR private data?
  • Certainly not Facebook!

Once again, Facebook has proven that they can’t be trusted with the privacy of their client’s data. This is evidenced by their lack of transparency and lack of full disclosure to their clients in their data policies. Resulting in yet another reason for customers to close accounts at Facebook and send a message to their senior management. However, I don’t believe they really care about what you or I think…they’ve haven’t so far, so why should they change their stripes now?

If you don’t agree with Facebook’s customer data policies, then take a stand and make your voice heard. If you don’t really care about how your data is used without your approval or knowledge, then continue to have your account open at Facebook where your private data can be bought/ sold/ exchanged/ shared/ and traded with hundreds of data contractors who can do the very same thing with your private data if they have similar data policies in place! You can’t say you haven’t been warned!

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – provides lawyers and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services and Digital Marketing Services.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  If you are interested in learning more about our consulting services, especially our M.A.P. solution (a Master Action Plan), designed to help business professionals to strategically manage and tactically grow their business, then Contact Us… We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

John 14:15

GMS Business Consulting No Comments

Interest Rates Tell The Story…

US Interest Rates 6-13-19 Source: Bloomberg

Interest rates tell the story… Good morning readers! Do you want to know where the economy is heading, where the stock market is going, the overall health of the economy? Just follow the interest rates and their upward or downward direction.

How does this affect you as an individual and as a business owner? It affects your personal income and business income, as upward and downward movements in interest rates create both challenges and opportunities. This is pretty basic for most of you. However, we’re going to highlight some interest rate basics below, to help you understand a few charts we’re about to display in a few minutes. But first, here are the basics:

Interest Rate Impact:

  • Rising Interest Rates – As interest rates begin rising, it’s usually due to one or more reasons:
    1. The economy is heating up, and inflation becomes a concern, so the Federal Reserve increases interest rates to help keep inflation under control. Or…
    2. The local currency is weakening against other leading currencies. So, interest rate increases may be used by the Federal Reserve to prop-up the local currency (too deep for this posting). Or…
    3. Wall Street/or world financial markets indicate that they see an overheating economy, thus urging central banks to raise interest rates.
  • Lowering Interest Rates – As interest rates begin declining, it’s usually due to one or more reasons:
    1. The economy is slowing down and verging on recession or is in the midst of a recession, and inflation concerns begin to lessen, so the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates to help the economy avoid further decline and begin stimulating the economy towards positive growth. Or…
    2. The local currency is gaining too much strength against other leading currencies, thus impacting its ability to export goods and services. So, interest rate decreases may be used by the Federal Reserve to weaken the local currency to help encourage its exports to foreign countries (too complex for further discussion in this posting). Or…
    3. Wall Street/or world financial markets indicate that they see a declining economy, thus urging central banks to lower interest rates.

From a Personal and Business Perspective:

  • PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE:
    • Existing Loans – As interest rates increase or decrease, any adjustable loan payments you have may adjust either upward or downward in accordance with the direction of interest rates. Thus making your loan payments either higher or lower (pretty obvious).
    • New Loan Qualification & Payment – Your personal income may be affected positively or negatively by any future loans you may be considering or may qualify for (such as home, auto, or personal loans), making your monthly loan payment either more or less expensive in accordance with the direction of interest rates (pretty obvious too, right?).
  • BUSINESS PERSPECTIVE:
    • As interest rates increase or decrease, business loans etc. become more or less expensive, thus affecting the business cash-flow positively or negatively (obvious once again).
    • As interest rates increase, the other costs of business usually increase as well. This reflects an expanding economy where the costs of doing business increase due to an increasing demand for materials and services out-pacing existing supplies.
    • As interest rates decrease, the costs of conducting business tends to decrease as well. This reflects a slowing or contracting economy that may be either going into a recession or may already be in a recession. This is simply due to the supply of materials and services outpacing demand.

Once Again… Interest Rates Tell The Story:

Let’s now look at the charts below, beginning with interest rates here in the U.S. What story does this chart tell YOU, and how will they impact you personally and professionally?

US Interest Rates – 6-13-19 Source: Bloomberg

Let’s now take a look at Interest Rates in the UK…

UK Interest Rates 6-13-19 Source: Bloomberg

Lets now look at interest rates in Germany (Europe’s leading economy)…

Germany Interest Rates 6-13-19 Source Bloomberg

Finally, lets take a look at interest rates in Japan…

Japan Interest Rates 6-13-19 Source: Bloomberg

So, have you noticed a common theme among the “leading” economies of the world when it comes to interest rates? Interest rates are near all-time lows! What does this signify to you? Eleven years after the 2008 – 2009 financial crisis, interest rates here in the US are still near historic lows, and the next two leading economies (behind the US), are even lower. In fact, they are at negative interest rates. It is sometimes explained as an incentive for banks to loan money because depositors will hoard their cash…is that so?

We believe negative interest rates may also reflect something vastly different. Perhaps that the underlying condition of the economy is fragile…very fragile. The economy would have to be very fragile in order to bring interest rates near all-time lows, correct? Then…perhaps to encourage banks to loan money they could take rates lower in order to incentivize lending. But the lending couldn’t be the key reason why interest rates would drop so low. It has to be that the sate of the economy is in such a fragile state that rates needed to be lowered in effort to stimulate a failing economy. We believe that’s the real reason why central banks are lowering interest rates drop so low. They may be out of tricks to keep the world economy running on runaway debt that can never be paid back.

Look at what has happened to Japan over the past two decades? Is this signaling what could happen here in the US? In either case, our point is, that current interest rates on a global levels do not reflect healthy economies nor a healthy financial system. If that’s the case, then how do you prepare yourself personally and professionally? That will be the subject of our next post in several weeks. Until then, do your own research and give this issue some critical thought. It may affect your near-term and long-term planning both personally and professionally. Remember, Interest rates tell the story…what story are they telling you?

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – provides lawyers and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services and Digital Marketing Services.  We do NOT provide investment advice!  If you are interested in learning more about our consulting services, especially our M.A.P. solution (a Master Action Plan), designed to help business professionals to strategically manage and tactically grow their business, then Contact Us… We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

John 14:15

GMS Business Consulting No Comments

Bitcoin and Blockchain For Lawyers

Bitcoin & Blockchain For Lawyers should be considered thoughtfully before implementation. A recent blog post by the law firm software management firm, MyCase, presents a clear (yet basic) description of how Bitcoin and Blockchain technology may work together in terms of payment receipt by lawyers and law firms for services rendered. We have concerns that we would like to share with you…

FIRST – Our Concerns About Bitcoin:

  • Bitcoin has no official oversight body to ensure against fraud and cyber security threats (other than a fictitious name, Satoshi Nakamoto), there is no record of ownership/creator/overseeing entity…nothing! So who or what is really behind this crypto currency? This may be changing though according to an article on Bloomberg. Crypto currencies may be facing their biggest hurdle yet…
  • Bitcoin is backed by nothing…just people agreeing that it has “some” form of value…an intangible value based on what? This can also be said about our current fiat currency system in existence today. However, there is one key difference. At the end of the day, the U.S. currency and other world currencies are backed by the “full faith and credit” of their respective government. Yes, that too can be questionable as to the economic soundness of any particular country. However the government does take responsibility to oversee and manage the stability of their currency through their central banks. This oversight effects all persons not only of the issuing country, but transactions using that currency world-wide.
  • Bitcoin does not work like most recognized/accepted currencies around the word. One can’t transact with it all over the world or in ordinary day-to-day transactions as you would using your debit or credit cards because not everyone accepts Bitcoin as a legitimate exchangeable form of currency. The challenge that Bitcoin and most other crypto currencies face is, that almost nobody accepts nor uses these crypto currencies on a daily basis for business or personal financial transactions…see this article from Bloomberg.
  • Bitcoin in its current state is completely unsustainable as a crypto currency, in its current form to be used on a global scale in day-to-day transactions (using Blockchain technology) based on the IMMENSE amount of energy required to mine/produce one Bitcoin. It’s completely unsustainable in its current state. (See points below on Blockchain vs. Hashgraph technology below.)
  • In addition, most of you know that Bitcoin is EXTREMELY volatile! As of today’s posting (06-04-19), Bitcoin is up approximately 35% over the past month (from $5612 to approximately $7607). However, for the past week it is week it is down nearly 10% (from $8536 to approx. $7607). So as an attorney or business professional, when do you convert to US dollars? On any given day it can be up or down significantly. You could either make or lose a lot of money depending on the day of conversion to U.S. dollars. Is that how you want to operate your business cash-flow?
  • We would suggest to lawyers and business professionals to carefully consider the risks of accepting Bitcoin as payment currency for services provided until the crypto currency itself stabilizes (it may or may not). If you want to use Bitcoin in your personal life as a speculative investment, then that’s your choice. Question…do you believe you have the experience/expertise/tools/and the time needed to competently and successfully trade Bitcoin and make a profit? Perhaps you do, and if so, good for you. Proceed with caution…and keep in mind the chart below on Bitcoin’s pricing history:

SECOND – Issues with Blockchain Technology & Crypto Currencies:

It’s true that Blockchain has many, many capabilities. In fact, Fintech News posted an article that major central banks around the world are “exploring” crypto currencies using Blockchain technology. The “key word” is “exploring”…not implementing. See Article HERE or click the picture below:

  • Blockchain, is considered by many to be “the technology” of the future used for crypto currencies. Blockchain technology has many exciting uses for future business application. However to be used as “the technology” engine behind crypto currencies, there is one key challenge that makes Blockchain an unlikely solution:
    • From a capacity standpoint, Blockchain lacks the robust number-crunching capabilities needed to handle the vast amount of financial transactions processed in the financial world in reasonable time periods for businesses and consumers.
  • Based on our research, Hashgraph technology, (not Blockchain technology) will likely be the technology used to support mainstream crypto currencies going forward. The reasons why Hashgraph will likely be used, and how it compares to Blockchain is too lengthy a discussion for this post. So please see our next point below…which takes you directly to some expert sources comparing these technologies.
  • For an extensive look into Blockchain vs. Hashgraph technology, please refer to our February 2018 post on “Hashgraph vs. Blockchain.” Listen to what the experts have to say regarding these technologies and how they compare and deal with the needs and challenges of crypto currencies going forward. Then come to your own informed conclusions as we have.

OUR CONCLUSION:

Blockchain has its place in the world today and is extremely valuable! Hashgraph technology also has its place in the world today and for the future in business and financial applications that will effect us personally as well. In our humble opinion, Hashgraph may completely replace Blockchain as the technology of choice used for driving the future of crypto currencies. That said, we won’t be so narrow-minded to say we won’t be swayed that other technologies being developed can’t be used in future crypto currencies either. That said, the arguments/facts presented by the experts in this field (from our February Post) are very compelling. As for us, we’ll keep accepting payment for our services directly in U.S. dollars, without the extra step and financial risks of currency conversion. We hope you find this post to be helpful and insightful in making your business decision as to accepting Bitcoin for the services your law practice provides.

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING, INC. – provides lawyers and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services and Digital Marketing Services to help business professionals successfully organize, grow and operate their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P.(our 3-phase business development solution), designedto help you strategically focus and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

John 14:15

GMS Business Consulting No Comments

The B.I.S.’s Perspective – On Cryptocurrencies & Bitcoin

An ARTICLE posted on Bloomberg and on the Bank for International Settlement’s (BIS) website states that current cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin) are not ready for prime time…  In fact, the BIS stated that not only is it not currently a sustainable global option for banking and financial market transactions, but in fact, it could “break the bank”!  The BIS provides an interesting perspective from within their own walls on cryptocurrencies that on the whole, we agree with.  Listen to this INTERVIEW segment with the BIS’s Hyun Song Shin, as he speaks about cryptocurrencies addressed in Chapter V of the Annual Economic Report 2018.  Mr. Shin simply and clearly articulates some of the key flaws in current cryptocurrencies, and in particular addresses some of the technology platform issues behind Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with which they are currently built on.  Please read the above referenced article and interview.  Once you have done so, we would like to share with you two additional perspectives…

PERSPECTIVE #1 – At GMS Business Consulting, Inc., we have been convinced for quite some time that cryptocurrencies are the future currency for worldwide banking and financial transactions.  HOWEVER, they will NOT be built on the distributed ledger technology of Blockchain technology.  It is well known in the technology world that blockchain technology, when used for massive amounts of data transactions like cryptocurrency, is not sustainable.  Hashgraph technology however is sustainable…This is simply a fact.  (You may refer to an earlier post on our blog about Blockchain vs Hashgraph technology.)  Blockchain is yesterday’s technology, but in our humble opinion, it is not the future technology, at least with regards to cryptocurrencies and other heavy data intensive needs.  Blockchain has proven itself to NOT be a sustainable technology for cryptocurrencies.  The FUTURE technology to be used in its place is called Hashgraph technology.  It is an extremely powerful and sustainable technology, with no miners needed, it’s very robust, scaleable and secure…all of which meet Mr. Shin’s criteria for a sustainable technology to meet the needs of cryptocurrencies and their use in replacing fiat currencies.

PERSPECTIVE #2:  We believe cryptocurrencies will NOT be unregulated.  As we’ve seen with all the current cryptocurrencies, they are extremely volatile, and are subject to manipulation, hacking etc. (although current fiat currencies are also manipulated).  One of the key issues why cryptocurrencies will not be controlled “by the people” to “run-free” so to speak, is that the banking and financial powers, regulators, governments, and central banks of this world won’t allow that to happen…period.  Do you really think these regulating powers would simply say, “Wow…we’ve had a good run for all these centuries, and made a lot of money too…we’ve also controlled and influenced world governments and economies too, but now we’ll let “the people” take over the banking and financial systems.”  Fat chance of that happening.  If cryptocurrencies are to replace fiat currencies (which we believe it will), it will ultimately be controlled and regulated by the IMF and the BIS in order to become a worldwide acceptable, regulated and usable currency that will use Hashgraph technology, not Blockchain technology.  (Once again, we refer you to our earlier POST regarding the differences between these two technologies.)

Remember, do your own homework by researching both these forms of technology, then you’ll be better informed to understand why the BIS is correct (in our humble opinion) on its view that current cryptocurrencies and the technology platform behind them, are unsustainable.

GMS BUSINESS CONSULTING – provides lawyers and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services and Digital Marketing Services to help business professionals successfully organize, grow and operate their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P.(our 3-phase business development solution), designed to help you strategically focus and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

John 14:15

GMS Business Consulting No Comments

Deplorable Diplomacy

Hello Everyone,  It’s sad and embarrassing to have to post this video clip (fast-forward to the 46 minute mark) about our U.S. Ambassador to the U.N.(Nikki Haley), as someone who is supposed to represent our country’s diplomacy, but it’s so insulting and demeaning to the U.S. and to the world that we felt compelled to post this interview.  The content of what Ms. Haley states about our relationship with Russia is not only embarrassing, it’s an outright antagonistic escalation of unwarranted negative branding, and verges on the side of war mongering to another country.  Yes, it’s Russia…either the 2nd or 3rd most powerful country in the world…far more capable of damaging the U.S. than any other country we’ve been to war with since World War II.  Does Ms. Haley believe they’re as incapable a foe as N. Korea/Vietnam/Iran/Iraq/Egypt/Libya or Afghanistan?

From what we have seen regarding the “accusations” against Russia on poisoning a former spy and his daughter in the UK, and the recent “accusations” against Syria for chemical weapons use in the Damascus suburb of Douma, are still just accusations.  Where is the proof?  Is there any proof being presented before the UN or the UN’s Security Counsel?  Until definitive proof is presented before a world court and it’s authenticity proved, why escalate the rhetoric…for what reason…for what price?  For our U.S. Ambassador to state that “we will never be friends with Russia” is not only naïve, destructive, and hateful rhetoric, but she also greatly damages the overall integrity of U.S. Government diplomacy.  This kind of speech also misrepresents the views of many citizens of this country, to be a people of due process…bridge builders to the world.  Then to further state that we’ll “slap” them when needed, is demeaning, disrespectful, embarrassing and also naïve to the highest degree.  Where did the diplomacy of this great country go, when we would once “Speak softly and carry a big stick”?  Diplomacy should be intelligent, strategic, respectful and be conducted with firm, purposeful integrity.  This approach is the antithesis of diplomacy and should be an embarrassment to us all.

Is Ms. Haley trying to provoke a Russian military response?  She may very well accomplish this by utilizing this bullying tactic.  But at what cost to the U.S. and to the world?  Other than hiding behind the armchair of her diplomatic office, has Ms. Haley ever personally been involved in a real fight herself and receive the consequences of her words or actions?  I seriously doubt it…We believe her words clearly reveal her arrogance and naïveté in representing the U.S. in diplomatic affairs before the rest of the world.  Russia is NOT small middle east country to be dealt with in such a careless way.

What a sad day for the U.S. in displaying it’s incompetence and arrogance in foreign relations and diplomacy.  Where do we get these people to serve…to represent us… “we” the people of the United States?  If this is the best our great country can produce to represent us before the rest of the world in “diplomacy”, then God help us all…

GMS Business Consulting – provides lawyers and business professionals with Accounting Services, Business Development Services, Business Optimization Services and Digital Marketing Services to help business professionals successfully organize, grow and operate their businesses more effectively and efficiently.  We do NOT provide investment advice.  Contact Us  if you are interested in learning more about our services, and in particular about M.A.P.(our 3-phase business development solution), designed to help you strategically focus and tactically grow your business.  We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you.

info@gmsbusinessconsulting.com

707-218-3135

John 14:15